It’s about the people who already emit.” Academics could be leading by example, Anderson says. Globally, about 50% of all COIf that’s true, we don’t have to aim our policy at 7.5 billion people, we can tailor our policies towards the top 10%. He starts by pointing out that the Paris Agreement is “not a safe threshold for many parts of the world”.
“Zero carbon.”That’s for 2°C, which as Anderson notes is very dangerous for many people in the world.
Interpreting Paris through the logic of carbon budgets begs fundamental questions of our norms and paradigms. Business leaders. The COAll of those technologies are electricity based.
It remains as relevant as it was 18 months ago, perhaps more so. But the models assume that we’re going to build the technology to absorb between 10 and 20 billion tonnes COOf course, this all supports ongoing fossil-fuel use to 2100 and beyond. Anderson talks about romantic illusions and negative emission technologies. To stay “well below 2°C”, the carbon budget remaining from 2017 is is about 800 billion tonnes CO“There are virtually no scenarios at a global level, even in the UK, that do that. It involves making wind turbines and trams instead of cars. If some universities started to set an example, it could snowball, until all universities in the UK were doing it.
They are not in the utopian reliance on technology and economics. Every year, we put 40 billion tonnes of COBECCS technology does not exist. We’ve got to feed 9 billion people.
We just shouldn’t rely on either to address the climate crisis.Here’s Anderson’s presentation in full (starting at 11:13):Anderson begins with a quotation from Richard Feynman, from 1986. Biomass is the new silver bullet.Anderson explains just how ridiculous BECCS is. “We’ve not tried to reduce our emissions in 27 to 28 years.”Anderson moves on to what real mitigation might be.
“I think you can construct this in a way that makes it very politically appealing,” he says.All this needs to start now and be completed in about three decades.
Just.But he adds that if he were asked to give this talk in five years’ time, or even two or three years’ time, he’d say it’s not possible. The Paris Agreement commits us to take action to, … to undertake rapid reductions in accordance with the best science“No country in the world, including the UK, takes any notice of the equity dimension at the moment,” Anderson adds. I was attempting to make notes for my students when I discovered your summary. Non-OECD countries are dominated by China. To most economists anyway. He focusses on BECCS (biomass energy with carbon capture and storage), but he could just as well have focussed on natural climate solutions, including REDD. Anderson talks about romantic illusions and negative emission technologies. Our choice is between a short-term Anderson gives an upbeat quotation from Robert Unger:Anderson finishes with another reflection on the role of universities: I watched Anderson’s presentation again recently after seeing it in a series of tweets by Thanks for your notes on Kevin’s presentation.
CO“So what we’ve had is 27 to 28 years of abject failure on climate change,” Anderson comments.
“The only thing that matters in terms of temperature,” Anderson says, “is the carbon budget. With much less mitigation, so much lower reduction rates. This means that we need a massive programme of electrification. We should do both. If they can reach a peak in their CO(Anderson notes that there are no historical examples of this, “but then we’ve never really tried”. The poor parts of the world can have a little bit longer to make this transition. “It also masks the need for social change,” Anderson says. “Of course, we’ve only ever paid lip service to this,” Anderson says. “It’s another romantic illusion. “That’s not going to solve the problem,” Anderson says, “but it’s going to help you quite a long way to it.”At the global level, we find a massive asymmetry in emissions and energy use. So it’s a romantic illusion.
We’ve already got 5-7% in our cars.
In the UK, we need a grid that is three to five times as big as it is today and we have to do that in the next 20 years.There are massive demand opportunities. In 2016, emissions were 60% higher than in 1990. …“If you were a policy maker, which would you rather sell to your electorate?”As Anderson notes, the same applies to academics flying to “another absolutely essential conference with their friends”, or if you’re flying to go on holiday.From different working groups in the IPCC we have two figures for the Carbon Budget from 2017. The chemical industry wants it.
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